Tories enjoy 'largest lead ever measured' as budget fails to change Liberals' dismal polling

The Liberals’ 2024 budget appears to have had little effect on the polls.

According to surveys released this week by Leger, Abacus Data and Nanos, the Conservative Party maintains a double-digit lead over the governing Grits.

Leger puts the Tories 21 points ahead of the Liberals (44 per cent to 23) and Nanos reckons the lead to be 20 points (44 to 24).

Abacus also thinks Pierre Poilievre’s party has a 21-point over Justin Trudeau’s Liberals (44 to 23).

Leger said the Liberals have seen a three-point decline, and the Tories a two-point gain, since last month.

That pollster also thinks voters back Poilievre as prime minister by a two-to-one margin over Trudeau (32 to 16).

Nanos, meanwhile, puts Poilievre’s lead over Trudeau at 17 points (37 to 20).

According to Abacus, younger Canadians – who have been targeted by the Liberals in recent months – say their view of the government has improved as a result of the budget.

But that change has yet to manifest in the polls, with Abacus emphasizing the Tories “now have the largest lead we have ever measured for them,” including in every region except Quebec.

Leger found that more than two thirds (69 per cent) of Canadians are dissatisfied with Trudeau’s government, which perhaps goes some way to explaining the Tories’ beefy lead.

But it isn’t all wine and roses for the Conservatives – Leger also found that 21 per cent of Tory voters are willing to switch parties.

Then again, the good news does seem to keep coming for the blue party, with Elections Canada data showing it raised more cash in 2024 than all the other federal parties combined.

See the full surveys here:

• Nanos

• Leger

• Abacus Data

Thumbnail photo credit: X/Pierre Poilievre/Justin Trudeau